Athletics

2026 NCAA Men’s Formchart #1 — Ultratight Forecast

First-year Arkansas coach Doug Case may get drenched, as he did indoors, though a down-to-the-wire team battle is projected. (KIRBY LEE/IMAGE OF SPORT)

THE WAY THE YEAR’S FIRST reading of the crystal ball turns out, Arkansas will wrap up the meet by eking out 3 points in the climactic 4×4. Not much, but it’s enough to overcome Auburn’s 2-point lead going in, but Auburn isn’t projected to score at all in the relay, so the Razorbacks will win by 1. It probably won’t turn out that way, but it’s our best guess as indoors gives way to out.

It won’t take much faltering by the pair of SEC powerhouses for Oregon and Georgia to pick up the few points they need to jump right into contention.

Overall, a healthy 8 of last year’s event winners are favored to repeat: Samuel Ogazi (400), James Corrigan (steeple), Ja’Kobe Tharp (110H), Auburn (4×1), Arvesta Troupe (HJ), Aleksandr Kolovev (PV), Ralford Mullins (DT), Peyton Bair (Dec).

The 10-deep predictions for each event (’ = athlete not eligible for U.S. international teams):

TOP 10 TEAMS
1. Arkansas41
2. Auburn40
3. Oregon37
4. Georgia36
5. Texas A&M32
=6. Minnesota31
=6. Ole Miss31
=8. Tennessee30
=8. Texas30
10. Alabama29
(complete team scores below event picks.)
100 METERS
1.Kayinsola Ajayi’AuburnJr
2.Jelani WatkinsArkansasSo
3.Louie Hinchliffe’HoustonJr
4.T’Mars McCallumTennesseeSr
5.Maurice GleatonGeorgiaFr
6.Israel Okon’AuburnSo
7.Ajani DwyerPenn StateSo
8.Davonte Howell’TennesseeJr
9.Jaiden Reid’LSUJr
10.Eddie Nketia’USCJr
200 METERS
1.Garrett KaalundUSCSr
2.Tarsis Orogot’AlabamaSr
3.T’Mars McCallumTennesseeSr
4.Wanya McCoy’FloridaSr
5.Jelani WatkinsArkansasSo
6.Jaleel CroalSouth FloridaSr
7.Aaron CharlesMinnesotaSr
8.Jaiden Reid’LSUJr
9.Ajani DwyerPenn StateSo
10.Jamarion StubbsArkansasSr
400 METERS
1.Samuel Ogazi’AlabamaJr
2.Jonathan SimmsGeorgiaFr
3.William JonesUSCSr
4.Justin BraunFloridaJr
5.Micahi DanzyFlorida StateSo
6.Jordan PierreArkansasJr
7.DeSean Boyce’Texas TechSr
8.Josiah WriceSouth CarolinaSo
9.Jayden DavisArizona StateJr
10.Kwamina Taylor’FloridaSo
800 METERS
1.Handal Roban’Penn StateSr
2.Sam RodmanVirginiaSr
3.Rivaldo Marshall’Arkansas25
4.Tyrice Taylor’ArkansasSr
5.Aidan McCarthyCal Poly SLOSr
6.Dayton CarlsonArizona StateSr
7.Tinoda MatsatsaGeorgetownJr
8.Allon Clay’Penn StateSr
9.Camden LawMichiganSr
10.Camden MarshallIndianaSr
1500 METERS
1.Colin SahlmanNorthern ArizonaSr
2.Gary MartinVirginiaSr
3.Elliott CookOregonSr
4.Ferenc Kovács’HarvardJr
5.Carter CuttingBYUJr
6.George Couttie’Virginia TechSo
7.Trent McFarlandMichiganJr
8.Leo YoungStanfordJr
9.Brendan HergerMichiganSo
10.Matan Ivri’WisconsinSo
STEEPLE
1.James CorriganBYUSr
2.Geoffrey Kirwa’LouisvilleSo
3.Nate MountainVirginiaSr
4.Joash Ruto’Iowa StateSo
5.Collins Kipngok’KentuckySo
6.Benjamin BalazsOregonJr
7.Silas Kiptanui’TulaneSo
8.Ezekiel Pitireng’AlabamaSo
9.Kole MathisonColoradoJr
10.Bismack Kipchirchir’AlabamaSo
5000 METERS
1.Marco LangonVillanovaJr
2.Brian Musau’Oklahoma StateJr
3.Habtom Samuel’New MexicoJr
4.Simeon BirnbaumOregonJr
5.Rocky HansenWake ForestJr
6.Ernest Cheruiyot’ArkansasJr
7.Evans Kiplagat’New MexicoJr
8.Nick BusieneiArkansasFr
9.Ben ShearerArkansasSr
10.Justine Kipokoech’ColoradoSo
10,000 METERS
1.Habtom Samuel’New MexicoJr
2.Solomon Kipchoge’Washington StateSo
3.Ernest Cheruiyot’ArkansasJr
4.Rodgers Kiplimo’Iowa StateJr
5.Denis Kipngetich’Oklahoma StateJr
6.Evans Kurui’Washington StateSo
7.Dismus Lokira’AlabamaSo
8.Sanele Masondo’Iowa StateSr
9.Robin Bera’Iowa StateSo
10.Lex YoungStanfordJr
110 HURDLES
1.Ja’Kobe TharpAuburnJr
2.Malachi SnowTexas TechJr
3.Kendrick SmallwoodTexasSr
4.Le’Ezra BrownGeorgiaFr
5.Ja’Qualon ScottTexas A&MSr
6.Bradley FranklinSamfordSo
7.Demario Prince’BaylorJr
8.Zach ExtineArizonaSr
9.Kai Graves-BlanksOregonJr
10.Jahlem Stern’LSUSr
400 HURDLES
1.Ja’Qualon ScottTexas A&MSr
2.Kody BlackwoodTexasSr
3.Saad Hinti’TennesseeSo
4.Njabulo Mbatha’AuburnFr
5.Ryan MatulonisPennJr
6.Mohamed AdoiniGeorgiaSo
7.Josiah JohnsonNorthern ArizonaSo
8.Jayden DouglasTCUJr
9.Marc Anthony Ibrahim’TennesseeJr
10.Nikola Kostić’TennesseeFr
4 x 100
1.AuburnAuburn
2.MinnesotaMinnesota
3.Texas TechTexas Tech
4.FloridaFlorida
5.HoustonHouston
6.LSULSU
7.South FloridaSouth Florida
8.Ole MissOle Miss
9.Cal State FullertonCal State Fullerton
10.Grand CanyonGrand Canyon
4 x 400
1.South CarolinaSouth Carolina
2.LSULSU
3.Texas A&MTexas A&M
4.AlabamaAlabama
5.TennesseeTennessee
6.ArkansasArkansas
7.FloridaFlorida
8.GeorgiaGeorgia
9.USCUSC
10.Texas TechTexas Tech
HIGH JUMP
1.Arvesta TroupeOle MissSr
2.Aiden HayesTexas StateSr
3.Yonath Kapitolnik’IllinoisFr
4.Tito AlofeHarvardJr
5.Kimani Jack’GeorgiaJr
6.Devin LoudermilkKansas StateSr
7.Scottie VinesArkansasSo
8.Alan HannaKansas StateFr
9.Kyren WashingtonOklahomaJr
10.Etoro BasseyTexas A&MFr
POLE VAULT
1.Aleksandr Solovev’Texas A&MSr
2.Anthony MeachamKansasSr
3.Jimmy RhoadsWashingtonSr
4.Dyson WickerNebraskaSo
5.Cade GrayTennesseeSr
6.Ricardo Montes’High PointSo
7.Ismaila Sawaneh’TennesseeJr
8.Maddox HammVirginia TechJr
9.Brian O’SullivanRutgersJr
10.Bryce BarkdullKansasSo
LONG JUMP
1.Charles Godfred’MinnesotaJr
2.Jordan Turner’LSUSr
3.De’Aundre WardSn MississippiSr
4.Kennedy StringfellowOklahomaJr
5.Kelsey Daniel’TexasSr
6.Greg FosterPrincetonJr
7.DJ FillmoreOhio StateJr
8.Tyler NicholsSn MississippiJr
9.Tafadzwa Chikomba’Kansas StateJr
10.Temoso Masikane’FloridaFr
TRIPLE JUMP
1.Jonathan Seremes’Texas TechSo
2.Selva Prabhu’Kansas StateSo
3.Kelsey Daniel’TexasSr
4.Brandon GreenOklahomaSr
5.Hakeem FordMinnesotaJr
6.Malith Yasiru’Arizona StateFr
7.Kevin KemboifOklahoma StateFr
8.Trevon Hamer’Kansas StateJr
9.Kyvon TathamFlorida StateSr
10.Floyd WhitakerOklahomaSr
SHOT
1.Tarik O’HaganOle MissSr
2.Kobe Lawrence’OregonSo
3.Cade MoranNebraskaJr
4.Ben SmithOregonFr
5.Texas TannerAir ForceSr
6.Joe LicataPrincetonSr
7.Jarno Van Daalen’FloridaFr
8.JL Van Rensburg’TennesseeSo
9.Dillon MorlockMichigan StateSo
10.Michael PinonesTexasJr
DISCUS
1.Ralford Mullings’OklahomaSr
2.Shamar Reid’Florida StateJr
3.Uladzislau Puchko’Virginia TechJr
4.Racquil Broderick’USCJr
5.Texas TannerAir ForceSr
6.Trevor GunzellAlabamaSr
7.Seth AllenAuburnJr
8.Jarno Van Daalen’FloridaFr
9.Chris CrawfordAlabamaSr
10.Casey HelmPrincetonSr
HAMMER
1.Tarik O’HaganOle MissSr
2.Ryan JohnsonIowaJr
3.Travis MartinCal Poly SLOSr
4.Jeremiah Nubbe’VirginiaJr
5.Anthony Barmes’MinnesotaSr
6.Ággelos Mantzouránis’MinnesotaJr
7.Texas TannerAir ForceSr
8.Igor Olaru’TennesseeSo
9.Niko Polychroniou’VirginiaSr
10.Sam InnesMissouriSr
JAVELIN
1.Jordan DavisGeorgiaSr
2.Leikel Cabrera’FloridaJr
3.Keyshawn Strachan’NebraskaJr
4.Tom Tersek’USCFr
5.Ben ShughartLibertySr
6.Jack LarriviereLSUSr
7.Chinecherem NnamdiTexas A&MSr
8.Nick ReynoldsGeorgiaSo
9.Dash SirmonNebraskaJr
10.Sam HankinsTexas A&MSr
DECATHLON
1.Peyton BairOregonSr
2.Till Steinforth’NebraskaSr
3.Jonathan Hertwig-Ødegaard’TexasFr
4.Ryan GregoryLong Beach StateSr
5.Kenneth ByrdLouisvilleSo
6.Carter MortonNorthern IowaSr
7.Ben BartonBYUSr
8.Max ForteDukeSr
9.Easton HammondTexas StateJr
10.Emil Uhlin’Kansas StateSr
COMPLETE TEAM SCORES
1.Arkansas41
2.Auburn40
3.Oregon37
4.Georgia36
5.Texas A&M32
=6.Minnesota31
=6.Ole Miss31
=8.Tennessee30
=8.Texas30
10.Alabama29
11.Florida28
12.Virginia27
=13.Texas Tech26
=13.USC26
15.Nebraska25
16.LSU23
17.Oklahoma20
18.New Mexico18
19.BYU16
20.Oklahoma State14
=21.Kansas State13
=21.Penn State13
=23.Florida State12
=23.Louisville12
=23.Northern Arizona12
=26.Iowa State11
=26.South Carolina11
=26.Washington State11
=29.Air Force10
=29.Harvard10
=29.Houston10
=29.Cal Poly SLO10
=29.Virginia Tech10
=29.Villanova10
=35.Iowa8
=35.Kansas8
=35.Texas State8
38.Sn Mississippi7
=39.Arizona State6
=39.Illinois6
=39.Princeton6
=39.Washington6
=43.Long Beach State5
=43.South Florida5
=45.Kentucky4
=45.Liberty4
=45.Penn4
=45.Wake Forest4
=49.High Point3
=49.Northern Iowa3
=49.Samford3
=52.Baylor2
=52.Georgetown2
=52.Michigan2
=52.Ohio State2
=52.Tulane2
=57.Arizona1
=57.Duke1
=57.Stanford1
=57.TCU1

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